As you’ll probably know if you’re a regular visitor of this
blog, it fluctuates constantly. A lucky dip of topics, hopefully interesting to
you (whilst I share my random findings and feelings). Today is a reflection on
the running out of oil, after watching an interesting documentary on the topic.
My opinion has fluctuated more than this blog! So at a first glance it would
seem scaremongers are correct, oil will run out. One interesting theory is it’ll
be as soon as 40 years!!!! Wow I thought, that seems extremely worrying, how
will we cope? Huge apocalypse? Global war? Do I dig the bunker now?
But as with all topics in this blog, the first port of call
is always to cross examine the subject. Nowadays everyone seems to have a
hidden agenda! Anyway after reading some other worrying research it seemed the
world would soon be heading into catastrophe. But a sudden encounter with a economics site quickly
brought me around to my senses. Yes oil extraction will decrease as oil wells
dry up, oil usage will also increase in the future with increased worldwide
population growth and the growing of small economies.
BUT WE WILL NEVER RUN OUT OF OIL!
As wells run dry or harder wells are tapped into, oil costs
will increase dramatically. As this happens people will change. Changing
habits, downsizing cars, changing to different powered vehicles, use bikes, walk
or use public transport. As the price of oil increases the cost will make oil a
niche, purchased by a few.
Although in our world energy has become a necessity, as the
cost of oil increases people will begin to adapt and use alternatives. Thus meaning
oil will not run out, it will become extremely expensive and not a viable
source of energy for the majority.
One question I do consider is when? when should habits begin
to change? Surely too soon is not an option. Countries that begin to change
will be ready, waiting and likely exceed in the future. As oil constantly
increases in cost, countries adapted to alternatives early will be able to leave
the pitch, stand on the side-lines and watch unaffected. As slow to adapt countries will begin
struggling to purchase oil at inflated prices, and hence hurriedly begin
changing energy habits.
What do you think ? Go ahead and comment !
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